Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Avispa Fukuoka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Senshu University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 2-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 2-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| May 22, 2024 | Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka | J-League Cup |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka on Aug 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Avispa Fukuoka.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026FC TokyovsKawasaki Frontale
- Dec 5, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsVissel Kobe
- Dec 5, 2026V-varen NagasakivsShimizu S-pulse
- Dec 5, 2026UrawavsNagoya Grampus
- Dec 5, 2026Cerezo OsakavsMito Hollyhock
- Dec 5, 2026Gamba OsakavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Dec 5, 2026JEF United ChibavsKashima
- Dec 5, 2026Machida ZelviavsFagiano Okayama