Flamengo vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Flamengo won 1-0 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 65′J. CarrascalFlamengo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Flamengo win at 64%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Flamengo vs Fluminense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Flamengo
4-2-3-1- 9Pedro
- 16Samuel Lino
- 11Lucas Paquetá
- 15J. Carrascal
- 8Saúl
- 5E. Pulgar
- 26Alex Sandro
- 4Léo Pereira
- 3Léo Ortiz
- 2G. Varela
- 1A. Rossi
Fluminense
4-2-3-1- 19R. Castillo
- 30Y. Soteldo
- 32L. Acosta
- 17A. Canobbio
- 8Martinelli
- 16Nonato
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 29J. Millán
- 4Ignacio
- 2Samuel Xavier
- 1Fábio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamengo have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Fluminense have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Santos(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Coritiba(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Flamengo wins, 2 draws, 2 Fluminense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fluminense 1-2 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Fluminense 0-0 Flamengo | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Fluminense 2-1 Flamengo | Carioca - 1 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Fluminense 2-1 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Flamengo 0-0 Fluminense | Carioca - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Flamengo on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flamengo score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flamengo sit 1st in Serie A (64 points from 30 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
A question about Flamengo vs Fluminense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy