Match

Gremio vs Internacional: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul

GremioInternacional

The Footlab AI model makes Gremio the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Internacional. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gremio wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gremio vs Internacional?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Gremio (1,807) and Internacional (1,813).

39%27%34%
Gremio winDrawInternacional win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gremio vs Internacional

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gremio

4-1-4-1
  1. 95Carlos Vinícius
  1. 20M. Villasanti
  2. 7C. Pavón
  3. 9F. Amuzu
  4. 8E. Noriega
  5. 15Danilo Barbosa
  1. 82Wallace
  2. 18João Pedro
  3. 38Caio Paulista
  4. 4W. Kannemann
  1. 1Weverton

Internacional

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Alerrandro
  1. 10Alan Patrick
  2. 28Vitinho
  3. 26A. Bernabéi
  4. 5R. Villagra
  5. 29Thiago Maia
  1. 15Bruno Gomes
  2. 25G. Mercado
  3. 35B. Aguirre
  4. 3G. Maripán
  1. 12Anthoni

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Internacional have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gremio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Remo(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Palmeiras(home)0-0Serie A
Sep 16, 2026Botafogo(away)2-3Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Vasco DA Gama(home)1-2Serie A
Sep 7, 2026Vitoria(away)0-1Serie A
Internacional
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Corinthians(home)2-1Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Sao Paulo(away)0-1Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Chapecoense-sc(away)2-1Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Santos(home)2-3Serie A
Sep 3, 2026Gremio(away)1-3Copa Do Brasil

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio wins, 3 draws, 1 Internacional win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 3, 2026Gremio 3-1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
Aug 27, 2026Internacional 0-0 GremioCopa Do Brasil
Apr 11, 2026Internacional 0-0 GremioSerie A
Mar 8, 2026Internacional 1-1 GremioGaúcho - 1
Mar 1, 2026Gremio 3-0 InternacionalGaúcho - 1
Jan 25, 2026Internacional 4-2 GremioGaúcho - 1

Last archived meeting: Gremio vs Internacional on Sep 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gremio score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Internacional score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gremio1.01.138/156/15
Internacional1.01.349/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gremio sit 18th in Serie A (30 points from 29 matches) and Internacional sit 17th (31 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Internacional2971012323731
18Gremio297913313930

A question about Gremio vs Internacional?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gremio vs Internacional?
The Footlab AI model makes Gremio the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Internacional.
Where and when is Gremio vs Internacional played?
Gremio vs Internacional is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Arena do Grêmio, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gremio and Internacional

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