Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?
Fleetwood Town starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleetwood Town have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Shrewsbury have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fleetwood Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Shrewsbury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Shrewsbury 2-2 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Fleetwood Town 3-1 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Shrewsbury 3-1 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Fleetwood Town 0-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Jan 1, 2023 | Shrewsbury 0-3 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Fleetwood Town 0-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
Last archived meeting: Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Town on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fleetwood Town score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?
- The Footlab model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury played?
- Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Highbury Stadium, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.