Where and when is Formartine United vs Montrose played?

Formartine United vs Montrose is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at North Lodge Park, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Formartine United vs Montrose: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)North Lodge Park, Pitmedden

Formartine United

Montrose

The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Montrose. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Formartine United vs Montrose?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Formartine United (1,639) and Montrose (1,594).

Formartine United win59 %

Draw20 %

Montrose win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Formartine United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Montrose have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Formartine United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Keith(home)	4-1	Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026	Rothes(away)	4-2	Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026	Invergordon(away)	2-1	Football League - Highland League
Aug 11, 2026	Dundee II(home)	4-1	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Huntly(home)	2-2	Football League - Highland League

Montrose
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Clyde(home)	3-0	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	East Kilbride(home)	3-0	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Alloa Athletic(away)	0-3	League One
Aug 11, 2026	Fraserburgh(home)	2-0	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Ross County(away)	1-2	League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Formartine United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Montrose win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 25, 2022	Montrose 4-3 Formartine United	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Montrose vs Formartine United on Jun 25, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Formartine United	1.8	1.1	4	9/15	9/15
Montrose	1.5	1.3	7	3/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Formartine United vs Montrose?: The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Montrose.
Where and when is Formartine United vs Montrose played?: Formartine United vs Montrose is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at North Lodge Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.