Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Nagoya Grampus played?

Mito Hollyhock vs Nagoya Grampus is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mito Hollyhock vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito

Mito Hollyhock

Nagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Nagoya Grampus?

Nagoya Grampus starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,953 vs 1,832).

Mito Hollyhock win34 %

Draw26 %

Nagoya Grampus win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mito Hollyhock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Kyoto Sangyo University(home)	0-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	0-1	J1 League

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 2, 2017	Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Nagoya Grampus	J2 League
Mar 18, 2017	Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Nagoya Grampus on Sep 2, 2017

How many goals should we expect?

Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mito Hollyhock	1.0	1.9	1	9/15	7/15
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mito Hollyhock sit 7th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Nagoya Grampus?: The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Nagoya Grampus played?: Mito Hollyhock vs Nagoya Grampus is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.