Match

FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC TokyoGamba Osaka

The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Tokyo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate FC Tokyo (2,119) and Gamba Osaka (2,047).

46%26%28%
FC Tokyo winDrawGamba Osaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
  1. 26M. Nagakura
  2. 9Marcelo Ryan
  1. 8T. Ko
  2. 7S. Anzai
  3. 27Kyota Tokiwa
  4. 10K. Sato
  1. 24A. Scholz
  2. 4H. Inamura
  3. 6K. Bangnagande
  4. 22H. Ishihara
  1. 81Kim Seung-Gyu

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 11I. Jebali
  1. 17R. Yamashita
  2. 27R. Mito
  3. 7T. Usami
  4. 13S. Abe
  5. 97Welton Felipe
  1. 4S. Nakatani
  2. 2S. Fukuoka
  3. 47S. Nakano
  4. 15T. Kishimoto
  1. 22J. Ichimori

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 07:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Gamba Osaka have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)6-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)4-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)0-1J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Urawa(home)3-0J1 League
Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Newcastle Jets(away)3-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Kashima(away)0-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Tokyo wins, 1 draw, 2 Gamba Osaka wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Gamba Osaka 0-2 FC TokyoJ1 League
Jun 22, 2025Gamba Osaka 2-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Apr 25, 2025FC Tokyo 3-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Aug 7, 2024Gamba Osaka 0-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
May 26, 2024FC Tokyo 0-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Oct 1, 2023FC Tokyo 3-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 2.5 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo2.50.3122/157/15
Gamba Osaka1.81.638/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 2nd in J1 League (27 points from 12 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 15th (11 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Tokyo1283127827
15Gamba Osaka12255142111

A question about FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Gamba Osaka.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka played?
FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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