Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima played?

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo Verdy

Kashima

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 0-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (2,159 vs 1,871).

Tokyo Verdy win16 %

Draw23 %

Kashima win61 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kashima have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League
May 30, 2026	Gamba Osaka(away)	1-1	J1 League

Kashima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	3-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Vegalta Sendai(home)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	2-0	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kashima win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 29, 2026	Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Kashima	J1 League
Mar 7, 2026	Kashima 2-0 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Nov 30, 2025	Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Kashima	J1 League
Feb 22, 2025	Kashima 4-0 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Aug 25, 2024	Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Kashima	J1 League
May 12, 2024	Kashima 3-3 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy	0.9	1.5	5	8/15	6/15
Kashima	1.9	1.0	8	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kashima sit 3rd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Kashima	3	3	0	0	9	6	9
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?: The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima played?: Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.