Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Vissel Kobe (2,054) and Cerezo Osaka (2,012).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Tochigi City(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vissel Kobe win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cerezo Osaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 0-0 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| May 6, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 1-3 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| May 11, 2024 | Cerezo Osaka 1-4 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vissel Kobe score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cerezo Osaka | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vissel Kobe sit 6th in J1 League (4 points from 2 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Cerezo Osaka.
- Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka played?
- Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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