Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita
The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Vissel Kobe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Gamba Osaka (2,022) and Vissel Kobe (2,042).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gangwon FC(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 4-3 | J1 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gamba Osaka win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Gamba Osaka 5-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 2-2 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Gamba Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| May 17, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 3-2 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Gamba Osaka 0-1 Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 2-2 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Vissel Kobe.
- Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe is played on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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