Match

Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaTokyo Verdy

The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Urawa (1,930) and Tokyo Verdy (1,869).

Urawa win47 %
Draw27 %
Tokyo Verdy win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026FC Ryukyu(away)4-5Friendlies Clubs
Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-0J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 9, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)1-1J1 League
Jun 6, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-4J1 League
May 30, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)1-1J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Urawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tokyo Verdy win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Urawa 1-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Mar 14, 2026Tokyo Verdy 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
Sep 27, 2025Tokyo Verdy 0-0 UrawaJ1 League
May 3, 2025Urawa 2-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Jan 20, 2025Urawa 3-2 Tokyo VerdyFriendlies Clubs
Oct 19, 2024Tokyo Verdy 2-1 UrawaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa1.51.848/157/15
Tokyo Verdy0.91.558/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Tokyo Verdy3021242
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy?
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy played?
Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy is played on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Urawa and Tokyo Verdy

Ready to know everything about football?