Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Shimizu S-pulse (1,899) and JEF United Chiba (1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 1-2 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 JEF United Chiba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2024 | Shimizu S-pulse 2-0 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
| Mar 20, 2024 | JEF United Chiba 1-3 Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Shimizu S-pulse 2-2 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
| May 17, 2023 | JEF United Chiba 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League |
| Jul 24, 2016 | JEF United Chiba 3-4 Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League |
| Jun 19, 2016 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba on Jul 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
- The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for JEF United Chiba.
- Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba played?
- Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba is played on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026V-varen NagasakivsCerezo Osaka
- Sep 19, 2026UrawavsTokyo Verdy
- Sep 19, 2026FC TokyovsNagoya Grampus
- Sep 19, 2026Gamba OsakavsVissel Kobe
- Sep 19, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsKashima
- Sep 19, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsMito Hollyhock
- Sep 19, 2026Machida ZelviavsKashiwa Reysol
- Sep 19, 2026Fagiano OkayamavsKyoto Sanga