Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?
Yokohama F. Marinos starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kyoto Sangyo University(home) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mito Hollyhock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?
- The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock played?
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock is played on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 19, 2026V-varen NagasakivsCerezo Osaka
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- Sep 19, 2026FC TokyovsNagoya Grampus
- Sep 19, 2026Gamba OsakavsVissel Kobe
- Sep 19, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsKashima
- Sep 19, 2026Machida ZelviavsKashiwa Reysol
- Sep 19, 2026Fagiano OkayamavsKyoto Sanga