Match

Germany U17 vs Azerbaijan U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)DFB-Campus, Frankfurt am Main

Germany U17Azerbaijan U17

The Footlab model makes Germany U17 the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Azerbaijan U17. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Germany U17 vs Azerbaijan U17?

Germany U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,716 Elo points against 1,272 — a 443-point gap.

Germany U17 win77 %
Draw14 %
Azerbaijan U17 win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany U17 have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Azerbaijan U17 have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Germany U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026France U17(away)0-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Slovenia U17(home)1-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026North Macedonia U17(home)2-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 18, 2026Portugal U17(away)0-1Friendlies
Feb 15, 2026Spain U17(away)2-3Friendlies
Azerbaijan U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Malta U17(home)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026Lithuania U17(away)0-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 24, 2026Bulgaria U17(away)1-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025Romania U17(home)1-5UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 11, 2025Israel U17(away)1-5UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Germany U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Azerbaijan U17 score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Germany U171.91.138/157/15
Azerbaijan U171.12.838/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Germany U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Azerbaijan U17 sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Germany U172200816
3Azerbaijan U173030333

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Germany U17 vs Azerbaijan U17?
The Footlab model makes Germany U17 the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Azerbaijan U17.
Where and when is Germany U17 vs Azerbaijan U17 played?
Germany U17 vs Azerbaijan U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at DFB-Campus, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Germany U17 and Azerbaijan U17

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