Where and when is Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice played?

Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce

Korona Kielce

GKS Katowice

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for GKS Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,945) and GKS Katowice (2,009).

Korona Kielce win46 %

Draw27 %

GKS Katowice win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; GKS Katowice have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Korona Kielce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Jagiellonia(away)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 17, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

GKS Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Plock(home)	5-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 12, 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv(away)	0-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Radomiak Radom(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Korona Kielce win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 GKS Katowice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Korona Kielce 1-1 GKS Katowice	Ekstraklasa
Oct 25, 2025	GKS Katowice 1-0 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
May 5, 2025	Korona Kielce 2-1 GKS Katowice	Ekstraklasa
Nov 4, 2024	GKS Katowice 1-2 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
Dec 10, 2022	Korona Kielce 0-1 GKS Katowice	Friendlies Clubs
May 14, 2022	Korona Kielce 1-2 GKS Katowice	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce	0.9	0.9	4	7/15	2/15
GKS Katowice	1.9	1.1	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and GKS Katowice sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	GKS Katowice	4	2	0	2	9	4	6
11	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	4	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice?: The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for GKS Katowice.
Where and when is Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice played?: Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.