Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa played?

Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa is played on September 2, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats

CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice

Górnik Polkowice

Polonia Warszawa

The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Górnik Polkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Górnik Polkowice (1,839) and Polonia Warszawa (1,886).

Górnik Polkowice win28 %

Draw24 %

Polonia Warszawa win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Polkowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Rakow II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 3

Polonia Warszawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	3-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(home)	3-1	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Polonia Warszawa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 26, 2023	Górnik Polkowice 2-0 Polonia Warszawa	II Liga - East
Oct 21, 2022	Polonia Warszawa 3-0 Górnik Polkowice	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa on May 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Górnik Polkowice	2.3	2.1	3	11/15	13/15
Polonia Warszawa	1.5	1.7	1	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Górnik Polkowice.
Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa played?: Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa is played on September 2, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.