Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Gornik Zabrze. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Widzew Łódź (1,970) and Gornik Zabrze (2,041).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gornik Zabrze have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Widzew Łódź win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Gornik Zabrze win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź 0-0 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Gornik Zabrze 3-2 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 0-2 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 3-1 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gornik Zabrze | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew Łódź sit 9th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 5 matches) and Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Gornik Zabrze.
- Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze played?
- Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026JagielloniavsWisla Plock
- Oct 24, 2026Slask WroclawvsWieczysta Kraków
- Oct 24, 2026Wisla KrakowvsRaków Częstochowa
- Oct 24, 2026Legia WarszawavsLech Poznan
- Oct 24, 2026Korona KielcevsGKS Katowice
- Oct 24, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsRadomiak Radom
- Oct 24, 2026Piast GliwicevsCracovia Krakow
- Oct 24, 2026Motor LublinvsZaglebie Lubin