Match

Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, Łódź

Widzew ŁódźGornik Zabrze

The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Gornik Zabrze. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Widzew Łódź (1,970) and Gornik Zabrze (2,041).

Widzew Łódź win44 %
Draw29 %
Gornik Zabrze win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gornik Zabrze have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Widzew Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Korona Kielce(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Jagiellonia(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Wisla Plock(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Motor Lublin(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Monaco(home)2-3UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(home)1-1UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(away)0-1UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Widzew Łódź win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Gornik Zabrze win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Widzew Łódź 0-0 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Sep 21, 2025Gornik Zabrze 3-2 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Apr 27, 2025Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Oct 27, 2024Widzew Łódź 0-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Feb 25, 2024Widzew Łódź 3-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Aug 18, 2023Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Widzew Łódź1.50.976/157/15
Gornik Zabrze1.61.3210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Widzew Łódź sit 9th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 5 matches) and Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gornik Zabrze3300739
9Widzew Łódź5131876

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze?
The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Gornik Zabrze.
Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze played?
Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Widzew Łódź and Gornik Zabrze

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