Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Yellow Dragon Sports Center Stadium, Hangzhou
The Footlab model makes Hangzhou Greentown the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Yunnan Yukun. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Hangzhou Greentown (1,587) and Yunnan Yukun (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hangzhou Greentown have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Yunnan Yukun have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 3-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 4-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Hangzhou Greentown win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Yunnan Yukun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun 1-2 Hangzhou Greentown | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Hangzhou Greentown 3-1 Yunnan Yukun | Super League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Hangzhou Greentown | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Yunnan Yukun vs Hangzhou Greentown on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hangzhou Greentown score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Yunnan Yukun score 2.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Greentown | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Yunnan Yukun | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hangzhou Greentown sit 7th in Super League (17 points from 15 matches) and Yunnan Yukun sit 4th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 21 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 35 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Greentown | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 11 | Hangzhou Greentown | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
- The Footlab model makes Hangzhou Greentown the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Yunnan Yukun.
- Where and when is Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun played?
- Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yellow Dragon Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 28, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsShandong Luneng
- Aug 28, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Aug 29, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsWuhan Three Towns
- Aug 29, 2026Tianjin TedavsQingdao Youth Island
- Aug 29, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsShenyang Urban
- Aug 29, 2026Henan JianyevsChongqing Tongliang Long