Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
The Footlab model makes Qingdao Jonoon the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Wuhan Three Towns. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Qingdao Jonoon (1,463) and Wuhan Three Towns (1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qingdao Jonoon have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Wuhan Three Towns have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Qingdao Jonoon win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Wuhan Three Towns win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 Qingdao Jonoon | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Wuhan Three Towns 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon | Super League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| May 5, 2024 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon | Super League |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Qingdao Jonoon score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wuhan Three Towns score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Jonoon | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qingdao Jonoon sit 14th in Super League (10 points from 15 matches) and Wuhan Three Towns sit 15th (8 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Qingdao Jonoon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 10 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 8 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 16 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 46 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns?
- The Footlab model makes Qingdao Jonoon the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Wuhan Three Towns.
- Where and when is Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns played?
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsShandong Luneng
- Aug 28, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsBeijing Guoan
- Aug 28, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Aug 29, 2026Tianjin TedavsQingdao Youth Island
- Aug 29, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsYunnan Yukun
- Aug 29, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsShenyang Urban
- Aug 29, 2026Henan JianyevsChongqing Tongliang Long