Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Shandong Luneng. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Shanghai Shenhua (1,704) and Shandong Luneng (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shanghai Shenhua have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Shandong Luneng have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 5-4 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Shanghai Shenhua win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Shandong Luneng win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Shandong Luneng 4-1 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Shanghai Shenhua 3-3 Shandong Luneng | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Shandong Luneng 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Shanghai Shenhua 6-0 Shandong Luneng | Super League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Shandong Luneng 0-3 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 Shandong Luneng | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Shandong Luneng vs Shanghai Shenhua on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shanghai Shenhua score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shandong Luneng score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Shandong Luneng | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shanghai Shenhua sit 12th in Super League (13 points from 15 matches) and Shandong Luneng sit 5th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shandong Luneng | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 18 |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 33 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 28 |
| 12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng?
- The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Shandong Luneng.
- Where and when is Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng played?
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng is played on August 28, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Shanghai Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsBeijing Guoan
- Aug 28, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Aug 29, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsWuhan Three Towns
- Aug 29, 2026Tianjin TedavsQingdao Youth Island
- Aug 29, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsYunnan Yukun
- Aug 29, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsShenyang Urban
- Aug 29, 2026Henan JianyevsChongqing Tongliang Long