Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tianjin Olympic Center Stadium, Tianjin
The Footlab model makes Tianjin Teda the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Qingdao Youth Island. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Tianjin Teda (1,583) and Qingdao Youth Island (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tianjin Teda have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Qingdao Youth Island have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Tianjin Teda win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Qingdao Youth Island win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island 1-1 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Tianjin Teda 0-0 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Qingdao Youth Island 2-2 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Tianjin Teda 2-1 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Qingdao Youth Island 1-3 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tianjin Teda score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Qingdao Youth Island score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tianjin Teda | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Qingdao Youth Island | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tianjin Teda sit 16th in Super League (5 points from 15 matches) and Qingdao Youth Island sit 6th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qingdao Youth Island | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 6 | Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Tianjin Teda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island?
- The Footlab model makes Tianjin Teda the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Qingdao Youth Island.
- Where and when is Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island played?
- Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tianjin Olympic Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsBeijing Guoan
- Aug 28, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsShandong Luneng
- Aug 28, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Aug 29, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsWuhan Three Towns
- Aug 29, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsYunnan Yukun
- Aug 29, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsShenyang Urban
- Aug 29, 2026Henan JianyevsChongqing Tongliang Long