Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park, Chengdu
The Footlab model makes Chengdu Better City the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Shenyang Urban. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban?
Chengdu Better City starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chengdu Better City have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Shenyang Urban have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 4-5 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-4 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Chengdu Better City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Shenyang Urban win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Shenyang Urban 0-1 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2021 | Chengdu Better City 2-0 Shenyang Urban | League One |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Shenyang Urban 0-6 Chengdu Better City | League One |
Last archived meeting: Shenyang Urban vs Chengdu Better City on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chengdu Better City score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shenyang Urban score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Better City | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Shenyang Urban | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chengdu Better City sit 1st in Super League (37 points from 15 matches) and Shenyang Urban sit 8th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 37 |
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 48 |
| 8 | Shenyang Urban | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 12 | Shenyang Urban | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban?
- The Footlab model makes Chengdu Better City the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Shenyang Urban.
- Where and when is Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban played?
- Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsBeijing Guoan
- Aug 28, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsShandong Luneng
- Aug 28, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Aug 29, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsWuhan Three Towns
- Aug 29, 2026Tianjin TedavsQingdao Youth Island
- Aug 29, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsYunnan Yukun
- Aug 29, 2026Henan JianyevsChongqing Tongliang Long