Where and when is Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long played?

Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, in the Super League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou

Henan Jianye

Chongqing Tongliang Long

The Footlab model makes Henan Jianye the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Chongqing Tongliang Long. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Henan Jianye (1,586) and Chongqing Tongliang Long (1,524).

Henan Jianye win52 %

Draw26 %

Chongqing Tongliang Long win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Henan Jianye have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chongqing Tongliang Long have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Henan Jianye
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Shenyang Urban(away)	4-4	Super League
Aug 15, 2026	Shanghai Shenhua(away)	1-4	Super League
Aug 9, 2026	Qingdao Youth Island(home)	0-0	Super League
Jul 31, 2026	Dalian Zhixing(home)	1-1	Super League
Jul 26, 2026	Shandong Luneng(away)	2-1	Super League

Chongqing Tongliang Long
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dalian Zhixing(home)	0-1	Super League
Aug 14, 2026	Qingdao Youth Island(away)	0-0	Super League
Aug 9, 2026	SHANGHAI SIPG(home)	2-3	Super League
Aug 2, 2026	Sichuan Jiuniu(away)	0-2	Super League
Jul 25, 2026	Wuhan Three Towns(away)	0-1	Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Henan Jianye win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chongqing Tongliang Long win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 5, 2026	Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Henan Jianye	Super League
May 21, 2025	Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-2 Henan Jianye	FA Cup

Last archived meeting: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye on May 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Henan Jianye score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chongqing Tongliang Long score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Henan Jianye	1.5	1.5	3	10/15	9/15
Chongqing Tongliang Long	0.9	1.2	6	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Henan Jianye sit 11th in Super League (15 points from 15 matches) and Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 2nd (24 points from 15 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	15	6	6	3	19	16	24
7	Chongqing Tongliang Long	24	7	9	8	25	28	30
11	Henan Jianye	15	6	3	6	16	18	15
13	Henan Jianye	23	8	6	9	31	33	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?: The Footlab model makes Henan Jianye the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Where and when is Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long played?: Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.