Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wuhua Hengpi Football Town, Dongguan
The Footlab model makes Sichuan Jiuniu the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for SHANGHAI SIPG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
SHANGHAI SIPG starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,677 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sichuan Jiuniu have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; SHANGHAI SIPG have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 3-4 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sichuan Jiuniu win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 SHANGHAI SIPG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG 1-1 Sichuan Jiuniu | FA Cup |
| May 6, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG 1-1 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Sichuan Jiuniu 1-2 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SHANGHAI SIPG 3-1 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Sep 13, 2024 | SHANGHAI SIPG 2-0 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| May 5, 2024 | Sichuan Jiuniu 0-6 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
Last archived meeting: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Sichuan Jiuniu on Jul 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SHANGHAI SIPG score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sichuan Jiuniu sit 9th in Super League (17 points from 15 matches) and SHANGHAI SIPG sit 13th (12 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 29 |
| 9 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 17 |
| 10 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 43 | 27 |
| 13 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
- The Footlab model makes Sichuan Jiuniu the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for SHANGHAI SIPG.
- Where and when is Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG played?
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG is played on August 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wuhua Hengpi Football Town, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsBeijing Guoan
- Aug 28, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsShandong Luneng
- Aug 29, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsWuhan Three Towns
- Aug 29, 2026Tianjin TedavsQingdao Youth Island
- Aug 29, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsYunnan Yukun
- Aug 29, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsShenyang Urban
- Aug 29, 2026Henan JianyevsChongqing Tongliang Long