Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Wisla Krakow (1,984) and Raków Częstochowa (2,034).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Krakow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wisla Krakow win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Raków Częstochowa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2022 | Raków Częstochowa 2-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 1-2 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 9, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 1-2 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Raków Częstochowa 3-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 10, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 3-2 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow on Feb 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisla Krakow sit 7th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 5 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
- The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Raków Częstochowa.
- Where and when is Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa played?
- Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026JagielloniavsWisla Plock
- Oct 24, 2026Slask WroclawvsWieczysta Kraków
- Oct 24, 2026Legia WarszawavsLech Poznan
- Oct 24, 2026Korona KielcevsGKS Katowice
- Oct 24, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsRadomiak Radom
- Oct 24, 2026Piast GliwicevsCracovia Krakow
- Oct 24, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsGornik Zabrze
- Oct 24, 2026Motor LublinvsZaglebie Lubin