Match

Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków

Wisla KrakowRaków Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Wisla Krakow (1,984) and Raków Częstochowa (2,034).

Wisla Krakow win42 %
Draw26 %
Raków Częstochowa win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Krakow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Plock(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)3-4Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026GKS Katowice(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)2-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Hammarby FF(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hammarby FF(home)0-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)1-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wisla Krakow win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Raków Częstochowa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2022Raków Częstochowa 2-0 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Aug 8, 2021Wisla Krakow 1-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Apr 9, 2021Wisla Krakow 1-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Nov 8, 2020Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Jun 20, 2020Raków Częstochowa 3-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Jun 10, 2020Wisla Krakow 3-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow on Feb 6, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisla Krakow1.91.268/159/15
Raków Częstochowa1.71.359/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Krakow sit 7th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 5 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Wisla Krakow521210107
18Raków Częstochowa3003360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Raków Częstochowa.
Where and when is Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa played?
Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wisla Krakow and Raków Częstochowa

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