Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom played?

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

Radomiak Radom

The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and Radomiak Radom (1,900).

Pogon Szczecin win58 %

Draw23 %

Radomiak Radom win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Radomiak Radom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	AEL(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Gornik Zabrze(home)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Radomiak Radom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 6, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 2-2 Radomiak Radom	Ekstraklasa
Jul 20, 2025	Radomiak Radom 5-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
May 10, 2025	Radomiak Radom 2-0 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Nov 8, 2024	Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Radomiak Radom	Ekstraklasa
Feb 16, 2024	Radomiak Radom 0-4 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2023	Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Radomiak Radom	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom on Dec 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Radomiak Radom	1.2	2.0	3	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Radomiak Radom sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
16	Radomiak Radom	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?: The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Radomiak Radom.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom played?: Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.