Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin played?

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

Zaglebie Lubin

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,934) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,952).

Motor Lublin win43 %

Draw27 %

Zaglebie Lubin win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Motor Lublin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 20, 2026	Motor Lublin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Sep 21, 2025	Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
May 18, 2025	Motor Lublin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Nov 22, 2024	Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Oct 19, 2022	Motor Lublin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin	Cup

Last archived meeting: Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15
Zaglebie Lubin	1.3	0.9	7	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Zaglebie Lubin	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?: The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Zaglebie Lubin.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin played?: Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.