Where and when is Jaguares vs Llaneros played?

Jaguares vs Llaneros is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jaguares vs Llaneros: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, Montería

Jaguares

Llaneros

The Footlab model makes Jaguares the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Llaneros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jaguares vs Llaneros?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Jaguares (1,634) and Llaneros (1,720).

Jaguares win45 %

Draw29 %

Llaneros win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguares have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Llaneros have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jaguares
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chico(home)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	0-3	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Cali(away)	0-2	Primera A

Llaneros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	3-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Bucaramanga(away)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 24, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	1-0	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Jaguares win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Llaneros win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 9, 2026	Llaneros 2-0 Jaguares	Primera A
Apr 24, 2024	Jaguares 1-1 Llaneros	Copa Colombia
Apr 10, 2024	Llaneros 2-2 Jaguares	Copa Colombia
Mar 30, 2023	Jaguares 1-0 Llaneros	Copa Colombia
Mar 15, 2023	Llaneros 1-1 Jaguares	Copa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Llaneros vs Jaguares on Mar 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jaguares	1.0	1.3	5	6/15	7/15
Llaneros	1.1	0.8	6	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jaguares sit 16th in Primera A (18 points from 19 matches) and Llaneros sit 14th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	22
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	22
15	Jaguares	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jaguares vs Llaneros?: The Footlab model makes Jaguares the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Llaneros.
Where and when is Jaguares vs Llaneros played?: Jaguares vs Llaneros is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.