Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock played?

JEF United Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

JEF United Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United Chiba

Mito Hollyhock

The Footlab model makes JEF United Chiba the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate JEF United Chiba (1,815) and Mito Hollyhock (1,832).

JEF United Chiba win37 %

Draw26 %

Mito Hollyhock win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	1-2	J1 League

Mito Hollyhock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	0-1	J1 League
May 30, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	0-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 JEF United Chiba win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	JEF United Chiba 1-1 Mito Hollyhock	J1 League
Feb 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock 1-1 JEF United Chiba	J1 League
Oct 19, 2025	Mito Hollyhock 0-1 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Apr 5, 2025	JEF United Chiba 2-1 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League
Sep 7, 2024	JEF United Chiba 4-0 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League
Mar 24, 2024	Mito Hollyhock 0-0 JEF United Chiba	J2 League

Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15
Mito Hollyhock	1.1	1.8	1	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock?: The Footlab model makes JEF United Chiba the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock played?: JEF United Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.