JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)OC Ventspils rezerves laukums, Ventspils
The Footlab model makes JFK Ventspils the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Riga FC II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate JFK Ventspils (1,368) and Riga FC II (1,408).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JFK Ventspils have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Riga FC II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Riga Mariners(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 JFK Ventspils win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Riga FC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Riga FC II 4-2 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | JFK Ventspils 2-2 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Riga FC II 2-2 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Riga FC II 0-0 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Jun 15, 2024 | JFK Ventspils 1-1 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Aug 20, 2023 | JFK Ventspils 0-0 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Riga FC II vs JFK Ventspils on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JFK Ventspils score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Riga FC II score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JFK Ventspils | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Riga FC II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JFK Ventspils sit 12th in 1. Liga (6 points from 9 matches) and Riga FC II sit 9th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Riga FC II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 20 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II?
- The Footlab model makes JFK Ventspils the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Riga FC II.
- Where and when is JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II played?
- JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at OC Ventspils rezerves laukums, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.