Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova 2: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)LNK Sporta Parks (mākslīgais), Riga
The Footlab model makes Leevon / PPK the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Super Nova 2. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova 2?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Leevon / PPK (1,495) and Super Nova 2 (1,411).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leevon / PPK have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Super Nova 2 have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Leevon / PPK win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Super Nova 2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Super Nova 2 2-3 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Super Nova 2 vs Leevon / PPK on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leevon / PPK score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Super Nova 2 score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevon / PPK | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Super Nova 2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leevon / PPK sit 2nd in 1. Liga (24 points from 10 matches) and Super Nova 2 sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 39 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova 2?
- The Footlab model makes Leevon / PPK the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Super Nova 2.
- Where and when is Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova 2 played?
- Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova 2 is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at LNK Sporta Parks (mākslīgais), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.