Skanste vs Tukums II: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Hanzas vidusskolas laukums, Riga
The Footlab model makes Skanste the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Tukums II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skanste vs Tukums II?
Skanste starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,393 vs 1,259).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skanste have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Tukums II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Riga Mariners(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 0-9 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Skanste win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tukums II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Tukums II 2-0 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Skanste 6-2 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Tukums II 1-2 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Skanste 7-0 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Tukums II 1-3 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Skanste 3-0 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Skanste score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tukums II score 1.3 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skanste | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tukums II | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skanste sit 8th in 1. Liga (10 points from 9 matches) and Tukums II sit 11th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Skanste | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 8 | Skanste | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | Tukums II | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 12 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skanste vs Tukums II?
- The Footlab model makes Skanste the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Tukums II.
- Where and when is Skanste vs Tukums II played?
- Skanste vs Tukums II is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanzas vidusskolas laukums, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.