Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol played?

Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)City Light Stadium, Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

Kashiwa Reysol

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Kashiwa Reysol. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Fagiano Okayama (1,938) and Kashiwa Reysol (2,026).

Fagiano Okayama win37 %

Draw28 %

Kashiwa Reysol win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fagiano Okayama have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	0-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 17, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
May 10, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Jul 31, 2019	Fagiano Okayama 0-4 Kashiwa Reysol	J2 League
Mar 23, 2019	Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League
Oct 16, 2013	Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Fagiano Okayama	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol on Aug 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fagiano Okayama score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fagiano Okayama	1.3	1.0	7	7/15	6/15
Kashiwa Reysol	1.5	1.2	3	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fagiano Okayama sit 9th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol?: The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Kashiwa Reysol.
Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol played?: Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.