Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Vissel Kobe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,024) and Vissel Kobe (2,042).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Vissel Kobe 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Kashiwa Reysol on Sep 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Vissel Kobe.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026KashimavsGamba Osaka
- Oct 10, 2026Cerezo OsakavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Oct 10, 2026FC TokyovsUrawa
- Oct 10, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsNagoya Grampus
- Oct 10, 2026JEF United ChibavsV-varen Nagasaki
- Oct 10, 2026Kyoto SangavsMachida Zelvia
- Oct 10, 2026Mito HollyhockvsShimizu S-pulse
- Oct 10, 2026Tokyo VerdyvsSanfrecce Hiroshima