Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa ReysolSanfrecce Hiroshima

The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kashiwa Reysol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,119) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,152).

33%26%41%
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashiwa Reysol

3-4-2-1
  1. 18Y. Kakita
  1. 5K. Endo
  2. 87H. Yamauchi
  3. 28S. Toshima
  4. 39N. Nakagawa
  5. 8Y. Koizumi
  6. 44K. Yuba
  1. 4T. Koga
  2. 26D. Sugioka
  3. 42W. Harada
  1. 29K. Nagai

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
  1. 23S. Ayukawa
  1. 10A. Suzuki
  2. 5N. Arai
  3. 35Y. Nakajima
  4. 7S. Higashi
  5. 6H. Kawabe
  6. 29T. Asano
  1. 4H. Araki
  2. 15S. Nakano
  3. 37Kim Ju-Sung
  1. 1K. Osako

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:41 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-1J-League Cup
Nov 7, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)2-1J1 League
Nov 3, 2026Daejeon Citizen(home)2-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Urawa(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 27, 2026Ratchaburi(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)3-0J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)3-4J-League Cup
Oct 24, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-4J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kashiwa Reysol wins, 3 draws, 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2025Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ-League Cup
Sep 23, 2025Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Mar 16, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Aug 25, 2024Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Jun 22, 2024Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Aug 26, 2023Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Nov 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol2.71.3510/1512/15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.30.8113/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (31 points from 14 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd (30 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kashiwa Reysol141013312031
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima14932321030

A question about Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kashiwa Reysol.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kashiwa Reysol and Sanfrecce Hiroshima