Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama played?

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya Grampus

Fagiano Okayama

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Fagiano Okayama. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,953) and Fagiano Okayama (1,938).

Nagoya Grampus win39 %

Draw25 %

Fagiano Okayama win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Fagiano Okayama win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 29, 2026	Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Mar 1, 2026	Fagiano Okayama 1-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Sep 13, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
May 6, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Aug 2, 2021	Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Fagiano Okayama	Emperor Cup
Nov 5, 2017	Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Nagoya Grampus	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?: The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Fagiano Okayama.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama played?: Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.