Match

Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaShimizu S-pulse

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,862 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,185 vs 1,969).

57%24%19%
Kashima winDrawShimizu S-pulse win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 9Léo Ceará
  2. 40Y. Suzuki
  1. 8Matheus Bueno
  2. 10G. Shibasaki
  3. 17Élber
  4. 27Y. Matsumura
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 5I. Sekigawa
  4. 7R. Ogawa
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Shimizu S-pulse

4-3-3
  1. 8K. Inoue
  2. 9Oh Se-Hun
  3. 13R. Germain
  1. 17M. Yumiba
  2. 21K. Matsuzaki
  3. 37K. Koizumi
  1. 24H. Sugai
  2. 25Mateus Brunetti
  3. 15Y. Honda
  4. 4S. Hasukawa
  1. 16T. Umeda

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League
Sep 23, 2026Ventforet Kofu(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Sep 19, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)3-3J1 League
Shimizu S-pulse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-2J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 7, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Sep 29, 2026Kanazawa(away)2-0J-League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kashima wins, 1 draw, 0 Shimizu S-pulse wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 31, 2025Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
May 17, 2025Kashima 1-0 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Oct 29, 2022Shimizu S-pulse 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 2, 2022Kashima 2-1 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Aug 25, 2021Shimizu S-pulse 0-4 KashimaJ1 League
Jun 6, 2021Kashima 2-1 Shimizu S-pulseJ-League Cup

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashima on Aug 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima2.71.268/1510/15
Shimizu S-pulse1.31.139/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 6th in J1 League (19 points from 10 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Kashima10613211619
10Shimizu S-pulse10424101114

A question about Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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