Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Kawasaki Frontale (1,961) and Cerezo Osaka (2,019).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Cerezo Osaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| May 18, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Cerezo Osaka 3-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale on Oct 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Cerezo Osaka | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka?
- The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Kawasaki Frontale.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKashiwa Reysol
- May 22, 2027UrawavsKyoto Sanga
- May 22, 2027FC TokyovsGamba Osaka
- May 22, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsShimizu S-pulse
- May 22, 2027JEF United ChibavsVissel Kobe
- May 22, 2027Mito HollyhockvsNagoya Grampus
- May 22, 2027Tokyo VerdyvsV-varen Nagasaki
- May 22, 2027Fagiano OkayamavsMachida Zelvia