Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and Shimizu S-pulse (1,901).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-3 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Shimizu S-pulse 3-5 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Shimizu S-pulse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?
- The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Shimizu S-pulse.
- Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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