Kenya vs Eritrea: result 1-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Kenya vs Eritrea?
Kenya and Eritrea drew 1-1 on September 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 36′N. Girmai NetabayEritrea
- 87′R. OgamKenya
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Kenya win at 69%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Kenya vs Eritrea
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Kenya
4-2-3-1- 15R. Ogam
- 19J. Ochieng
- 10T. Ouma
- 22M. Obiero
- 8Duke Ooga Abuya
- 20M. Okwaro
- 3O. Khamis
- 5F. Odhiambo
- 2H. Wesonga
- 16R. Onyango
- 23B. Odhiambo
Eritrea
4-2-3-1- 10A. Sulieman
- 7F. Gerezgiher
- 19Esrom Yohannes
- 8Ablelom Teklezgi
- 20N. Girmai Netabay
- 9T. Tekie
- 3Jonas Idris Ibrahim
- 14Namrud Embaye
- 4J. Ali
- 25V. Fors
- 1Malik Abdulrahman
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kenya have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Eritrea have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Lesotho(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Lesotho(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Grenada(away) | 3-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Estonia(home) | 1-1 | FIFA Series |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Senegal(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Eswatini(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Eswatini(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| May 28, 2025 | Niger(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Sudan(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 19, 2019 | Uganda(away) | 0-3 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Kenya wins, 0 draws, 1 Eritrea win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | Kenya 1-4 Eritrea | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kenya score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eritrea score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Eritrea | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kenya sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (1 point from 2 matches) and Eritrea sit 3rd (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Eritrea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 4 | Kenya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Kenya vs Eritrea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy