Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Victoria Września (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lech Poznań II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Victoria Września win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września 2-5 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 30, 2026 | Lech Poznań II 1-2 Victoria Września | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Victoria Września 0-0 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Lech Poznań II on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Victoria Września | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Victoria Września.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsBałtyk Koszalin
- Nov 21, 2026KaliszvsFlota Świnoujście
- Nov 21, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Nov 21, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Nov 21, 2026LuzinovsKotwica Kórnik
- Nov 21, 2026Noteć CzarnkówvsGedania Gdansk
- Nov 21, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsStargard Szczeciński
- Nov 21, 2026Lipno StęszewvsElana Toruń