Match

Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki

Lech Poznań IIVictoria Września

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Victoria Września (1,691).

Lech Poznań II win56 %
Draw22 %
Victoria Września win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznań II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września(away)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Victoria Września
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-5III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Luzino(home)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Środa(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)2-5III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lech Poznań II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Victoria Września win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września 2-5 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
May 30, 2026Lech Poznań II 1-2 Victoria WrześniaIII Liga - Group 2
Dec 6, 2025Victoria Września 0-0 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Lech Poznań II on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznań II2.11.9311/1512/15
Victoria Września1.11.748/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lech Poznań II531112910
16Victoria Września51044143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września played?
Lech Poznań II vs Victoria Września is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lech Poznań II and Victoria Września

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