Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueMatchday 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab AI model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kawasaki Frontale wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Kawasaki Frontale (2,054) and Gamba Osaka (2,025).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1- 97Derik Lacerda
- 17T. Ito
- 14Y. Wakizaka
- 23Marcinho
- 8K. Tachibanada
- 6Y. Yamamoto
- 5A. Sasaki
- 4Pedro Romano
- 29R. Yamahara
- 13S. Miura
- 49S. Brodersen
Gamba Osaka
4-2-3-1- 11I. Jebali
- 17R. Yamashita
- 13S. Abe
- 7T. Usami
- 16T. Suzuki
- 39K. Sumi
- 2S. Fukuoka
- 4S. Nakatani
- 15T. Kishimoto
- 21R. Hatsuse
- 1M. Higashiguchi
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-2 | J-League Cup |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 2-4 | J1 League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sagan Tosu(away) | 2-0 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 2-3 | J1 League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 3-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kawasaki Frontale wins, 2 draws, 4 Gamba Osaka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| May 25, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| May 19, 2024 | Gamba Osaka 3-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-4 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Gamba Osaka 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale on Jul 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Gamba Osaka | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 8th in J1 League (22 points from 14 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 18th (12 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 22 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Gamba Osaka.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Nov 28, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsUrawa
- Nov 28, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsAvispa Fukuoka
- Nov 28, 2026Vissel KobevsJEF United Chiba
- Nov 28, 2026KashimavsFagiano Okayama
- Nov 28, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsFC Tokyo
- Nov 28, 2026Kyoto SangavsCerezo Osaka
- Nov 28, 2026Machida ZelviavsTokyo Verdy