Kyoto Sanga vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs JEF United Chiba?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and JEF United Chiba (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Azul Claro Numazu(home) | 1-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 JEF United Chiba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 3-2 JEF United Chiba | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 3-0 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
| Nov 28, 2021 | JEF United Chiba 0-0 Kyoto Sanga | J2 League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Kyoto Sanga 2-1 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
| Sep 30, 2020 | JEF United Chiba 0-0 Kyoto Sanga | J2 League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Kyoto Sanga 2-0 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs JEF United Chiba on Jan 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs JEF United Chiba?
- The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for JEF United Chiba.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs JEF United Chiba played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs JEF United Chiba is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKashima
- Dec 12, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsVissel Kobe
- Dec 12, 2026UrawavsKawasaki Frontale
- Dec 12, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsMito Hollyhock
- Dec 12, 2026Cerezo OsakavsMachida Zelvia
- Dec 12, 2026Gamba OsakavsTokyo Verdy
- Dec 12, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsV-varen Nagasaki
- Dec 12, 2026Fagiano OkayamavsKashiwa Reysol