Match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce HiroshimaKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kashima. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima?

On Elo ratings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has 2,154 points and Kashima 2,165.

53%24%23%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
  1. 23S. Ayukawa
  1. 10A. Suzuki
  2. 5N. Arai
  3. 18D. Suga
  4. 35Y. Nakajima
  5. 6H. Kawabe
  6. 11M. Kato
  1. 4H. Araki
  2. 15S. Nakano
  3. 37Kim Ju-Sung
  1. 1K. Osako

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 6K. Misao
  3. 10G. Shibasaki
  4. 24H. Hayashu
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 7R. Ogawa
  4. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 11:51 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Kashima have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)1-0J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)2-0J1 League
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, 3 draws, 1 Kashima win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2025Kashima 1-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Apr 2, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 KashimaJ1 League
Sep 14, 2024Kashima 2-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
May 15, 2024Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-3 KashimaJ1 League
Jul 8, 2023Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 1, 2023Kashima 1-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Jun 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.50.795/159/15
Kashima2.31.359/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd in J1 League (26 points from 12 matches) and Kashima sit 8th (20 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima12822291026
8Kashima12624252120

A question about Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kashima.
Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima played?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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