Match

Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy

The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?

Gamba Osaka starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,907).

64%21%15%
Gamba Osaka winDrawTokyo Verdy win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 11I. Jebali
  1. 17R. Yamashita
  2. 27R. Mito
  3. 13S. Abe
  4. 97Welton Felipe
  5. 7T. Usami
  1. 2S. Fukuoka
  2. 4S. Nakatani
  3. 15T. Kishimoto
  4. 21R. Hatsuse
  1. 22J. Ichimori

Tokyo Verdy

4-4-2
  1. 33K. Ichimi
  2. 9I. Someno
  1. 8K. Saito
  2. 40Y. Arai
  3. 19K. Fujimoto
  4. 16R. Hirakawa
  1. 4N. Hayashi
  2. 18S. Mizoguchi
  3. 96Cho Yu-Min
  4. 22Y. Uchida
  1. 1Matheus Vidotto

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Pohang Steelers(away)3-3AFC Champions League Elite
Nov 1, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Buriram United(home)1-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-1J1 League
Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Tokyo(home)0-4J1 League
Oct 11, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gamba Osaka wins, 3 draws, 0 Tokyo Verdy wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026Tokyo Verdy 2-4 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
May 30, 2026Gamba Osaka 1-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Dec 6, 2025Gamba Osaka 4-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Mar 2, 2025Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Sep 28, 2024Gamba Osaka 1-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
May 15, 2024Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka1.91.729/159/15
Tokyo Verdy1.01.447/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 16th in J1 League (12 points from 13 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (11 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Gamba Osaka13265142112
17Tokyo Verdy13256112211

A question about Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy played?
Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gamba Osaka and Tokyo Verdy

Ready to know everything about football?