Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya GrampusMito Hollyhock

The Footlab AI model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Mito Hollyhock?

Nagoya Grampus starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (2,020 vs 1,911).

66%20%14%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nagoya Grampus vs Mito Hollyhock

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nagoya Grampus

3-4-2-1
  1. 11Y. Yamagishi
  1. 15S. Inagaki
  2. 22Y. Kimura
  3. 17T. Uchida
  4. 7R. Izumi
  5. 27K. Nakayama
  6. 31T. Takamine
  1. 70T. Hara
  2. 3Y. Sato
  3. 13H. Fujii
  1. 1D. Schmidt

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
  1. 30J. Okumura
  2. 9R. Nemoto
  1. 19T. Semba
  2. 44M. Nishihara
  3. 20Y. Funabashi
  4. 22K. Taniguchi
  1. 17K. Itakura
  2. 3K. Osaki
  3. 16Y. Tamura
  4. 25T. Mase
  1. 27J. Słowik

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)0-2J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)1-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Urawa(home)1-2J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)1-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-1J1 League
Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-1J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-3J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nagoya Grampus win, 1 draw, 0 Mito Hollyhock wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 2, 2017Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Nagoya GrampusJ2 League
Mar 18, 2017Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Mito HollyhockJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Nagoya Grampus on Sep 2, 2017

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus1.31.9011/1510/15
Mito Hollyhock1.11.735/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (14 points from 14 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 19th (9 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Nagoya Grampus14428152314
19Mito Hollyhock1423912269

A question about Nagoya Grampus vs Mito Hollyhock?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Mito Hollyhock?
The Footlab AI model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Mito Hollyhock played?
Nagoya Grampus vs Mito Hollyhock is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nagoya Grampus and Mito Hollyhock