Match

Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto SangaVissel Kobe

The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe?

Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,907).

Kyoto Sanga win29 %
Draw25 %
Vissel Kobe win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)1-2J1 League
Jul 17, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)1-0J1 League
Vissel Kobe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)0-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026FC Tokyo(home)2-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)1-0J1 League
Jul 22, 2026Imabari(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Consadole Sapporo(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Vissel Kobe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 13, 2026Vissel Kobe 1-0 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Feb 6, 2026Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Vissel KobeJ1 League
Dec 6, 2025Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Vissel KobeJ1 League
Feb 26, 2025Vissel Kobe 1-1 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Oct 27, 2024Vissel Kobe 2-1 Kyoto SangaEmperor Cup
Oct 6, 2024Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Vissel KobeJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Sanga on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga1.12.229/1510/15
Vissel Kobe1.11.356/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Vissel Kobe3111334
18Kyoto Sanga3012471

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe?
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe played?
Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe is played on December 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kyoto Sanga and Vissel Kobe

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