Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe?
Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 1-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 1-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Kyoto Sanga | Emperor Cup |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Sanga on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe is played on December 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 25, 2026V-varen NagasakivsKawasaki Frontale
- Nov 25, 2026UrawavsCerezo Osaka
- Nov 25, 2026FC TokyovsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Nov 25, 2026JEF United ChibavsNagoya Grampus
- Nov 25, 2026Mito HollyhockvsTokyo Verdy
- Nov 25, 2026Fagiano OkayamavsShimizu S-pulse
- Nov 25, 2026Avispa FukuokavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Dec 16, 2026KashimavsMachida Zelvia