Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe?
Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,901).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 2-0 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| May 25, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 3-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Shimizu S-pulse on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Shimizu S-pulse.
- Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKashima
- Dec 12, 2026UrawavsKawasaki Frontale
- Dec 12, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsMito Hollyhock
- Dec 12, 2026Cerezo OsakavsMachida Zelvia
- Dec 12, 2026Gamba OsakavsTokyo Verdy
- Dec 12, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsV-varen Nagasaki
- Dec 12, 2026Kyoto SangavsJEF United Chiba
- Dec 12, 2026Fagiano OkayamavsKashiwa Reysol