Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The Footlab AI model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vissel Kobe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,626 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe?
Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,145 vs 1,936).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shimizu S-pulse
4-3-3- 7Capixaba
- 13R. Germain
- 9Oh Se-Hun
- 17M. Yumiba
- 21K. Matsuzaki
- 37K. Koizumi
- 25Mateus Brunetti
- 24H. Sugai
- 4S. Hasukawa
- 3Y. Takahashi
- 16T. Umeda
Vissel Kobe
4-3-3- 11Y. Muto
- 10Y. Osako
- 94Erik
- 5Y. Goke
- 7Y. Ideguchi
- 25Y. Kuwasaki
- 41K. Nagato
- 24G. Sakai
- 3Matheus Thuler
- 4T. Yamakawa
- 71S. Gonda
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-5 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-2 | J-League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 3-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shimizu S-pulse wins, 1 draw, 3 Vissel Kobe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 2-0 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| May 25, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 3-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Shimizu S-pulse on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shimizu S-pulse score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse sit 13th in J1 League (14 points from 13 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 5th (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 14 |
A question about Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Shimizu S-pulse.
- Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Vissel Kobe is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKashima
- Dec 12, 2026UrawavsKawasaki Frontale
- Dec 12, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsMito Hollyhock
- Dec 12, 2026Cerezo OsakavsMachida Zelvia
- Dec 12, 2026Gamba OsakavsTokyo Verdy
- Dec 12, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsV-varen Nagasaki
- Dec 12, 2026Kyoto SangavsJEF United Chiba
- Dec 12, 2026Fagiano OkayamavsKashiwa Reysol