Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Okinawa SV(home) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Urawa(away) | 4-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Verspah Oita(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6-2 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Oct 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J1 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
- The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
- Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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