Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów played?

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów is played on September 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats

CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zielona Góra

Lechia Zielona Góra

Ruch Chorzów

The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Lechia Zielona Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Lechia Zielona Góra (1,900) and Ruch Chorzów (1,862).

Lechia Zielona Góra win37 %

Draw25 %

Ruch Chorzów win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Zielona Góra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lechia Zielona Góra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Hutnik Kraków(home)	1-1	II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026	Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away)	1-2	II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(home)	6-1	II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026	Olimpia Grudziądz(home)	2-2	II Liga - East
Jul 25, 2026	Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home)	1-1	II Liga - East

Ruch Chorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	0-2	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lechia Zielona Góra win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ruch Chorzów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 1, 2021	Lechia Zielona Góra 0-2 Ruch Chorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 20, 2020	Ruch Chorzów 4-0 Lechia Zielona Góra	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów on May 1, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lechia Zielona Góra	2.1	1.3	3	11/15	10/15
Ruch Chorzów	1.2	1.2	5	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?: The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Lechia Zielona Góra.
Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów played?: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów is played on September 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.